Market Update

Capistrano Beach Real Estate Market Update: October 2026

This is the October 2026 market update for Capistrano Beach, Dana Point: what sold, for how much and how quickly, how the month compares with a year earlier, and what it takes in income to buy here at today’s rates. The figures are closed sales recorded in CRMLS.

Capistrano Beach Home Sales in October 2026

7

Homes Sold

5 in Oct 2025

$1.46M

Median Price

▼ 49.7% vs Oct 2025

$801

Median $/Sq Ft

▼ 24.9% vs Oct 2025

86

Median Days on Market

25 in Oct 2025

99.0%

Sale-to-List

99.5% in Oct 2025

$11.6M

Sales Volume

▼ 23.6% vs Oct 2025

In October 2026, 7 homes sold in Capistrano Beach at a median price of $1,456,000, down 49.7% from October 2025. That was more sales than the 5 of October 2025.

In October, the typical home sold in 86 days at 99.0% of its final asking price, compared with 25 days a year earlier. Most homes sold close to asking, with modest room to negotiate. Many sellers cut their price before selling: measured against the original asking price, the typical home sold at 89.4%.

Sales totaled $11.6M in October, against $15.2M in October 2025. October’s median was the lowest of any month in the past year. Over the last three months the median was $2,037,500 across 18 sales, a steadier figure than any single month.

For context, the median across all of Dana Point was $1,875,000 in October, so Capistrano Beach ran 22% below the city as a whole.

What It Means

For buyers. You have leverage. Homes are taking longer to sell and closing below asking, so there is room to negotiate on price, credits and terms, especially on homes that have sat.

For sellers. Price from the recent sales, not the hoped-for number. Homes that start too high tend to sit and sell for less after price cuts.

The Year in Capistrano Beach

Month by month over the past year, from CRMLS closed sales. A dash means fewer than three sales behind the figure.

Median sold price by month
$1M$1.5M$2M$2.5M$3MOct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26$1.46M
Median price per sq ft by month
$600$800$1,000$1,200Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26$801
Homes sold by month
0510Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Sale-to-list price by month
92.5%95.0%97.5%100.0%102.5%Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '2699.0%
Capistrano Beach home sales by month
MonthSoldMedian Price$/Sq FtDays
October 20267$1.46M$80186
September 20267$2.43M$1,07245
August 20264$1.98M$1,21133
July 202611$1.9M$99720
June 20269$2.4M$1,10120
May 20268$1.67M$1,1147
April 20265$2.23M$1,07430
March 202611$2.39M$9847
February 20263$2.4M$958105
January 20263$1.64M$1,01366
December 20258$2.03M$93237
November 20254$2.25M$1,06429
October 20255$2.9M$1,06625

How Much Income Do You Need to Buy a Home in Capistrano Beach?

At Capistrano Beach’s October 2026 median of $1,456,000, a buyer putting 20% down would need a household income of about $34,417 a month, or $413,004 a year, to keep housing costs near 28% of gross income, the traditional lending guideline.

Buying at the median: a monthly estimate
Purchase price$1,456,000
Down payment (20%)$291,200
Loan amount$1,164,800
Principal and interest (7.24%, 30-year fixed)$7,938
Property tax (about 1.1% a year)$1,335
Homeowners insurance (estimate)$364
Monthly housing cost$9,637
Income needed, monthly$34,417
Income needed, yearly$413,004

An illustration only, not an offer of credit or a loan estimate. It assumes the 7.24% average 30-year fixed rate from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for October 29, 2026; jumbo loans, points, credit and down payment change the actual rate and APR. Property tax and insurance are estimates, and HOA dues and Mello-Roos taxes are not included. Many lenders allow a higher share of income for housing, and a larger down payment lowers the income needed.

Closed sales of single-family homes, condos and townhomes recorded in CRMLS, as of 2026-11-13. Sale-to-list compares each sale price with the final asking price. Figures are deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

See the Capistrano Beach guide for homes for sale and the market right now.

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Kyle Shutts, Real Estate Professional

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Kyle Shutts

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