Market Update

Monarch Beach Real Estate Market Update: October 2026

This is the October 2026 market update for Monarch Beach, Dana Point: what sold, for how much and how quickly, how the month compares with a year earlier, and what it takes in income to buy here at today’s rates. The figures are closed sales recorded in CRMLS.

Monarch Beach Home Sales in October 2026

7

Homes Sold

18 in Oct 2025

$2.4M

Median Price

▼ 46.1% vs Oct 2025

$1,388

Median $/Sq Ft

▼ 10.8% vs Oct 2025

10

Median Days on Market

23 in Oct 2025

100.0%

Sale-to-List

98.2% in Oct 2025

$25.1M

Sales Volume

▼ 75.5% vs Oct 2025

In October 2026, 7 homes sold in Monarch Beach at a median price of $2,400,000, down 46.1% from October 2025. That was fewer sales than the 18 of October 2025.

In October, the typical home sold in 10 days at 100.0% of its final asking price, compared with 23 days a year earlier. Homes were selling at or above asking, a sign of competition for the best listings.

Sales totaled $25.1M in October, against $102.2M in October 2025. Over the last three months the median was $3,464,500 across 30 sales, a steadier figure than any single month.

By home type, single-family homes sold at a median of $3,288,000 (4 sales) and condos and townhomes at $750,000 (3 sales).

For context, the median across all of Dana Point was $1,875,000 in October, so Monarch Beach ran 28% above the city as a whole.

What It Means

For buyers. Expect competition for well-priced homes. Have financing settled before you tour, and be ready to write a clean offer quickly on the right house.

For sellers. Conditions favor you, but buyers still pay for condition and price. A home priced to the recent sales, and presented well, is the one that draws multiple offers.

The Year in Monarch Beach

Month by month over the past year, from CRMLS closed sales. A dash means fewer than three sales behind the figure.

Median sold price by month
$1M$2M$3M$4M$5MOct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26$2.4M
Median price per sq ft by month
$1,000$1,500$2,000Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26$1,388
Homes sold by month
05101520Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Sale-to-list price by month
94.0%96.0%98.0%100.0%102.0%Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26100.0%
Monarch Beach home sales by month
MonthSoldMedian Price$/Sq FtDays
October 20267$2.4M$1,38810
September 202611$3.71M$1,35525
August 202612$3.5M$1,8075
July 202615$2.42M$1,16441
June 20265$1.4M$1,13013
May 202616$4.25M$1,64824
April 202617$3.15M$1,29122
March 202615$3.7M$1,47314
February 202610$3.05M$1,26741
January 20265$4.35M$2,06794
December 20256$3.4M$1,48973
November 202512$3.55M$1,41425
October 202518$4.45M$1,55623

How Much Income Do You Need to Buy a Home in Monarch Beach?

At Monarch Beach’s October 2026 median of $2,400,000, a buyer putting 20% down would need a household income of about $56,731 a month, or $680,776 a year, to keep housing costs near 28% of gross income, the traditional lending guideline.

Buying at the median: a monthly estimate
Purchase price$2,400,000
Down payment (20%)$480,000
Loan amount$1,920,000
Principal and interest (7.24%, 30-year fixed)$13,085
Property tax (about 1.1% a year)$2,200
Homeowners insurance (estimate)$600
Monthly housing cost$15,885
Income needed, monthly$56,731
Income needed, yearly$680,776

An illustration only, not an offer of credit or a loan estimate. It assumes the 7.24% average 30-year fixed rate from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for October 29, 2026; jumbo loans, points, credit and down payment change the actual rate and APR. Property tax and insurance are estimates, and HOA dues and Mello-Roos taxes are not included. Many lenders allow a higher share of income for housing, and a larger down payment lowers the income needed.

Closed sales of single-family homes, condos and townhomes recorded in CRMLS, as of 2026-11-13. Sale-to-list compares each sale price with the final asking price. Figures are deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

See the Monarch Beach guide for homes for sale and the market right now.

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Kyle Shutts, Real Estate Professional

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Kyle Shutts

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