Market Update

Dana Point Real Estate Market Update: October 2026

This is the October 2026 market update for Dana Point: what sold, for how much and how quickly, how the month compares with a year earlier, and what it takes in income to buy here at today’s rates. The figures are closed sales recorded in CRMLS.

Dana Point Home Sales in October 2026

29

Homes Sold

37 in Oct 2025

$1.88M

Median Price

▼ 27.9% vs Oct 2025

$923

Median $/Sq Ft

▼ 22.9% vs Oct 2025

26

Median Days on Market

21 in Oct 2025

99.0%

Sale-to-List

98.6% in Oct 2025

$63.3M

Sales Volume

▼ 59.5% vs Oct 2025

In October 2026, 29 homes sold in Dana Point at a median price of $1,875,000, down 27.9% from October 2025. That was fewer sales than the 37 of October 2025.

In October, the typical home sold in 26 days at 99.0% of its final asking price, compared with 21 days a year earlier. Most homes sold close to asking, with modest room to negotiate.

Sales totaled $63.3M in October, against $156.6M in October 2025. Over the last three months the median was $2,080,000 across 91 sales, a steadier figure than any single month.

By home type, single-family homes sold at a median of $2,190,000 (16 sales) and condos and townhomes at $1,200,000 (13 sales).

What It Means

For buyers. The market is balanced: the best homes still sell quickly, while others leave room to negotiate. Compare each home to the most recent sales nearby before you offer.

For sellers. Pricing close to the recent sales and preparing the home well is what separates a quick sale from a long one in a balanced market.

The Year in Dana Point

Month by month over the past year, from CRMLS closed sales. A dash means fewer than three sales behind the figure.

Median sold price by month
$1M$1.5M$2M$2.5MOct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26$1.88M
Median price per sq ft by month
$800$1,000$1,200$1,400Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26$923
Homes sold by month
02040Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Sale-to-list price by month
94.0%96.0%98.0%100.0%102.0%Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '2699.0%
Dana Point home sales by month
MonthSoldMedian Price$/Sq FtDays
October 202629$1.88M$92326
September 202631$2.43M$1,17732
August 202631$1.95M$1,2769
July 202644$1.81M$1,05528
June 202633$2.1M$1,1018
May 202637$2M$1,12214
April 202638$1.79M$1,05414
March 202642$2.49M$1,06913
February 202627$1.9M$95854
January 202617$2.35M$1,01366
December 202531$1.33M$88557
November 202526$2.08M$1,04928
October 202537$2.6M$1,19721

Dana Point Neighborhoods in October

How Dana Point’s neighborhoods compared. Small neighborhoods can swing on a single sale, so the three-month figures are often the better guide.

Across the 12 neighborhoods in Dana Point, 29 homes closed in October. The most sales were in Capistrano Beach (7). Prices ran highest in Monarch Bay, at a median of $12,400,000, and lowest in Monarch Hills, at $750,000.

NeighborhoodOct SalesOct MedianAug to Oct SalesAug to Oct Median
Capistrano Beach7$1.46M18$2.04M
Dana Hills6$1.86M16$1.97M
Estates at Monarch Beach0–1–
Lantern Village5$2.3M14$1.94M
Monarch Bay1–3$12.4M
Monarch Bay Terrace1–2–
Monarch Beach7$2.4M30$3.46M
Monarch Hills2–3$750K
Niguel Shores0–4$6.85M
Ritz Cove0–1–
Ritz Pointe0–1–
Villas at Monarch Beach0–1–

How Much Income Do You Need to Buy a Home in Dana Point?

At Dana Point’s October 2026 median of $1,875,000, a buyer putting 20% down would need a household income of about $44,321 a month, or $531,856 a year, to keep housing costs near 28% of gross income, the traditional lending guideline.

Buying at the median: a monthly estimate
Purchase price$1,875,000
Down payment (20%)$375,000
Loan amount$1,500,000
Principal and interest (7.24%, 30-year fixed)$10,222
Property tax (about 1.1% a year)$1,719
Homeowners insurance (estimate)$469
Monthly housing cost$12,410
Income needed, monthly$44,321
Income needed, yearly$531,856

An illustration only, not an offer of credit or a loan estimate. It assumes the 7.24% average 30-year fixed rate from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for October 29, 2026; jumbo loans, points, credit and down payment change the actual rate and APR. Property tax and insurance are estimates, and HOA dues and Mello-Roos taxes are not included. Many lenders allow a higher share of income for housing, and a larger down payment lowers the income needed.

Closed sales of single-family homes, condos and townhomes recorded in CRMLS, as of 2026-11-13. Sale-to-list compares each sale price with the final asking price. Figures are deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

See the Dana Point guide for homes for sale and the market right now, or the Dana Point market report, updated each month.

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Kyle Shutts, Real Estate Professional

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Kyle Shutts

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